DEANE LESTER FLEMINGTON CUP 1849
MUKTAMIL (14) goes on top here. He's racing in fine form, a narrow winner here two back before hitting the line strongly last time after the winner had first run. He stays right down in the weights off that effort and Williams going on is a positive. Rates highly. BOLD SOUL (4) beat Muktamil when they met but does meet him 5kg worse off at the weights for a 0.5 length margin. He's racing in consistently strong form and should take beating again. MORMONA (8) has improved with racing this time in and put in a good effort to finish second in the Stayers Cup at Rosehill last start. Should be ready to peak out to 2800m now. VIRTUOUS CIRCLE (3) is a frustrating conveyance, his lack of early speed and intent costing him. The run two back was outstanding, he just needs everything to go right. SAMUEL LANGHORNE (13) was good last time and has each way claims.
At the latest run got back early 5th of 10 at this track Banjo Paterson on July 5 over 2600m, slow going 6 len behind Goldenstatewarrior with 60kg at $26. The race before that 8th of 15 at this track Bm100 on June 7 over 2000m, slow going 6 len behind Flash Feeling with 59kg at $31. Not the worst.
Form hard to fault. Last start 2nd in a small field at Warrnambool Hdle-Qlty on July 6 over 3200m, on a wet track; 1.5 len behind Right Now carrying 68kg at $1.35. Before that 4th of 18 at this track in the LR Ramsden on May 17 over 2800m, on a slow track; 4 len behind Basilinna carrying 58.5kg at $18. Back on the flat, rough hope.
Form hard to fault. Most recently came home strongly from last on the turn; 4th of 10 at this track Banjo Paterson on July 5 over 2600m, on a slow track; 5 len behind Goldenstatewarrior with 59.5kg at $8. The run before that 4th of 12 at this track Qlty Hcp on June 21 over 2540m, 1.0 len behind Bold Soul carrying 58.5kg at $26. Has the ability but map remains a query.
Racing well recently. Last start held ground to the line 2nd of 10 at this track Banjo Paterson on July 5 over 2600m, on a slow track; long-neck behind Goldenstatewarrior with 57kg at $4.20. Before that ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at this track Qlty Hcp June 21 over 2540m defeating Muktamil carrying 54kg at $4.60. Flying, tough to stop again.
Last start 5th of 16 at Sunshine Coast in the LR Caloundra Cup on July 5 over 2400m, slow going 8 len behind Half Yours with 54.5kg at $26. The run before that 3rd of 14 at Rosehill in the LR Winter Cup on June 14 over 2400m, on a slow track; 1.1 len behind Sir Lucan with 53kg at $31. Each way.
Most recently didn't finish the race at Caulfield Qlty Hcp June 28 over 2000m. Before that raced on the pace before fading second last of 15 at this track Bm100 on June 7 over 2000m, slow going 11 len behind Flash Feeling carrying 55kg at $301. Hard to enthuse.
Comes off a 35 day let-up. Most recently 7th of 11 at Eagle Farm in the G2 Brisbane Cup on June 14 over 3200m, 6 len behind Campaldino with 54kg at $17. The race before that 4th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside in the LR Sandown Cup on June 1 over 3200m, 3 len behind Diwali carrying 57.5kg at $15. Will stick on but tough to see him winning.
At the latest run raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at Rosehill Stayers Cup on June 28 over 2400m, long-neck behind Bacio Del Mist with 57.5kg at $4. The start before that 6th of 14 at Rosehill in the LR Winter Cup on June 14 over 2400m, slow going 3 len behind Sir Lucan carrying 53kg at $18. Working up to a win. Better last time and can win.
Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up ran last of 11 at Randwick Bm88 on June 21 over 1800m, slow going 9 len behind Quantum Cat with 58kg at $15. Second run from a spell 6th of 10 at this track Banjo Paterson on July 5 over 2600m, slow going 8 len behind Goldenstatewarrior with 54kg at $31. Fitter again, possible improver.
Last start couldn't go on with it; second last of 8 at Rosehill Stayers Cup on June 28 over 2400m, 9 len behind Bacio Del Mist with 57.5kg at $21. The start before that eased back early on 9th of 14 at Rosehill in the LR Winter Cup on June 14 over 2400m, slow going 5.5 len behind Sir Lucan with 53kg at $81. Has the task ahead.
Most recently eased back early on 9th of 13 at Rosehill Bm78 on July 5 over 2000m, on a slow track; 4 len behind Good Banter carrying 60.5kg at $81. Before that 11th of 14 at Rosehill in the LR Winter Cup on June 14 over 2400m, on a slow track; 6 len behind Sir Lucan with 53kg at $19. Can't have.
Third-up today. First-up 4th of 13 at Sandown-Hillside Bm78 on June 14 over 1600m, 4.5 len behind Aztec State carrying 57.5kg at $201. Second-up second last of 13 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm74 on July 2 over 2400m, on rain affected going; 33 len behind Galilaeus carrying 59.5kg at $26. Tested on recent form.
At the latest run made some head-way from midfield; 3rd of 10 at this track Banjo Paterson on July 5 over 2600m, slow going 2 len behind Goldenstatewarrior carrying 54kg at $8. The race before that 6th of 12 at this track Qlty Hcp on June 21 over 2540m, 3 len behind Bold Soul with 54.5kg at $7.50. Made headway last time. Solid chance once more.
Racing well recently. Most recently 2nd of 12 at this track Qlty Hcp on June 21 over 2540m, 0.5 len behind Bold Soul carrying 54kg at $7.50. The run before that won by a head at this track Bm84 June 7 over 2520m on a soft track defeating Bold Soul carrying 54kg at $5. Gets in nicely and rates well.