ATA TRUST/TAB WE'RE ON
DUCHESS ZOU (3) is the one with upside who looks nicely placed here off a very good run in the Creswick Stakes, third to Bridal Waltz and hot favourite She's An Artist. She'd won a BM64 by 4.5 lengths prior and stays down in the weights in an ideal race. HARRY'S YACHT (1) was dominant last start at Caulfield over 1440m, getting the right run there but coming away to score comfortably. Connections toyed with stepping to a mile but this looks a better option. JUST FOR SHOW (2) has been a bit disappointing this time in, threatening to put one away but not able to do so. He was left with far too much to do behind Harry's Yacht last time and Shinn going on is a huge positive. LEGACY BAY (4) won in good style at Sandown Lakeside last time and could measure up having accounted for LARIO (5) easily there.
Form hard to fault. Most recently won by 2.25 len at Caulfield 3yo Hcp June 28 over 1440m in soft going defeating Yaldi carrying 58kg at $4.40. Before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Hcp on June 14 over 1400m, on a slow track; 0.7 len behind Santa Ana Moon carrying 57kg at $18. Draws well and another big run is in store.
Most recently 5th of 11 at Caulfield 3yo Hcp on June 28 over 1440m, slow going 6 len behind Harry's Yacht carrying 57kg at $3.30. The race before that 3rd of 10 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Hcp on June 14 over 1400m, on a slow track; long-neck behind Santa Ana Moon with 59kg at $15. Can bounce back.
Form hard to fault. Most recently 3rd of 8 at this track in the LR Creswick on July 5 over 1200m, on a slow track; 2.25 len behind Bridal Waltz carrying 55kg at $13. The race before that won by 4.5 len at Geelong Bm64 June 20 over 1212m on a rain affected track defeating Highland Harley with 57kg at $7. Rates highly, go close.
Recent form sound. Most recently favourite; ran on from midfield and won by 1.75 len at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Bm64 July 9 over 1400m on a soft track defeating Lario carrying 54.5kg at $3.20. The race before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo F Bm70 on June 14 over 1300m, slow going 1.5 len behind Terilee with 54kg at $3. One of the better chances.
Most recently 2nd of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo Bm64 on July 9 over 1400m, on a slow track; 1.75 len behind Legacy Bay carrying 60kg at $12. The run before that 9th of 13 at Caulfield 3yo Hcp on May 10 over 1600m, 5.5 len behind Mary Eliza carrying 56kg at $15. Thereabouts last time out. Place chance.
Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming raced on the pace when 2nd of 8 at Swan Hill 3yo Bm64 on June 8 over 1200m, on a slow track; nose behind Shamateur carrying 59.5kg at $3.20. Second run from a spell raced on the speed throughout before fading second last of 11 at Caulfield 3yo Hcp on June 28 over 1440m, slow going 14 len behind Harry's Yacht with 54kg at $5. Rough hope.
Last start favourite; scored a big 3.5 len win at Ballarat Synthetic 3yo Mdn-Sw July 4 over 1400m defeating Lowestoft carrying 56kg at $1.85. The run before that 2nd of 12 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on June 15 over 1300m, on rain affected going; neck behind Touxlove carrying 57.5kg at $2.80. Not going well enough. This is harder.
Most recently 4th of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 7 over 1200m, 4 len behind King Tut carrying 59.5kg at $14. The race before that 2nd of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw on June 30 over 1200m, 3.5 len behind Little Bighorn with 59.5kg at $41. Others rate better.